Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000193 0.000216 0.000241 0.000269 0.000300 0.000335 0.000375
2024-12-29 0.000159 0.000190 0.000225 0.000268 0.000319 0.000378 0.000451
2025-01-05 0.000133 0.000167 0.000209 0.000263 0.000331 0.000414 0.000523
2025-01-12 0.000114 0.000151 0.000198 0.000262 0.000346 0.000454 0.000603
2025-01-19 0.000101 0.000140 0.000191 0.000263 0.000363 0.000497 0.000690
2025-01-26 0.000088 0.000127 0.000180 0.000259 0.000372 0.000530 0.000766
2025-02-02 0.000083 0.000124 0.000182 0.000271 0.000404 0.000596 0.000896
2025-02-09 0.000076 0.000118 0.000179 0.000276 0.000425 0.000648 0.001008
2025-02-16 0.000070 0.000112 0.000175 0.000279 0.000443 0.000697 0.001120
2025-02-23 0.000064 0.000106 0.000170 0.000278 0.000456 0.000739 0.001223
2025-03-02 0.000058 0.000098 0.000162 0.000273 0.000460 0.000765 0.001304
2025-03-09 0.000053 0.000092 0.000157 0.000271 0.000470 0.000802 0.001405
2025-03-16 0.000049 0.000088 0.000153 0.000272 0.000484 0.000851 0.001535
2025-03-23 0.000045 0.000083 0.000149 0.000272 0.000499 0.000900 0.001670
2025-03-30 0.000041 0.000078 0.000143 0.000269 0.000505 0.000936 0.001787
2025-04-06 0.000038 0.000074 0.000139 0.000268 0.000517 0.000983 0.001926
2025-04-13 0.000036 0.000071 0.000136 0.000269 0.000533 0.001039 0.002090
2025-04-20 0.000033 0.000066 0.000131 0.000265 0.000539 0.001074 0.002217
2025-04-27 0.000032 0.000066 0.000134 0.000278 0.000578 0.001180 0.002495
2025-05-04 0.000030 0.000065 0.000133 0.000283 0.000601 0.001255 0.002717
2025-05-11 0.000029 0.000063 0.000132 0.000286 0.000621 0.001325 0.002937
2025-05-18 0.000027 0.000060 0.000129 0.000285 0.000634 0.001382 0.003133
2025-05-25 0.000025 0.000056 0.000124 0.000280 0.000635 0.001412 0.003270